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Tag Archive | "Tim Lincecum"

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections: What’s Wrong with San Francisco Giants’ Tim Lincecum?

Sunday, August 19, 2012

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2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections: What’s Wrong with San Francisco Giants’ Tim Lincecum?

From 2008 to 2011, only Cliff Lee had a FIP better than Lincecum's mark of 2.81 (which happened to match his ERA). During those four seasons, no pitcher with at least 500 innings had a better strikeout rate than Tiny Tim's 9.97. His contact rate (74.8 percent) was second-best and his swinging-strike rate (11.1 percent) was in the top four. Less than a full year removed from one of the best four-year runs in recent memory, The Freak owns the seventh-worst ERA among qualified starters (5.45). So what the heck happened?

The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse Revisited: How The Elite Starting Pitchers of 2010 Fared in 2011

Friday, October 7, 2011

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The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse Revisited: How The Elite Starting Pitchers of 2010 Fared in 2011

Before the 2010 season, I got familiar with the idea of regression to the mean. This concept illustrates the phenomenon of an outlying statistic in one season (such as an extraordinary ERA) coming back down to earth in the next, simply by chance. My study examined how the best pitchers (in terms of ERA) fared in the following season, dating back to 2000. To measure this, I (somewhat arbitrarily) choose 2.50 as the cutoff for ERA. Here's what I found...

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: The Top 30 Starting Pitchers

Thursday, March 31, 2011

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: The Top 30 Starting Pitchers

There are many different effective strategies when it comes to drafting starting pitchers. Some will hoard the top talents in the year after the year of the pitcher, while others will rely on weekly spot-starts. Both approaches work, but I have employed a much different scheme in recent seasons: Ideally, you own just one or two reliable starters. They must maintain a consistently low ERA (preferably no higher than 3.50—3.75) and WHIP (Carl Pavano was a great example last year). Strikeouts aren't important...

2011 Fantasy Baseball Big Board: An In-Depth Ranking and Analysis of the Top 100 Players

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Big Board: An In-Depth Ranking and Analysis of the Top 100 Players

Over the last four months, I’ve poured hundreds of hours into researching, ranking and re-ranking the top 100 players in fantasy baseball. This Big Board is much different than most, however. I’m going to give you something you can’t get anywhere else free of charge. Instead of just listing names without justification, Fantasy Baseball Insiders provides not only MLB Odds and the top-100 overall rankings, but includes a few nuggets on each player, and links to an in-depth individual analysis complete with 2010 stats, three-year averages, and calculated 2011 projections! These rankings and projections consider past achievements and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings...

Adam Wainwright Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery: Updated Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Rankings

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

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Adam Wainwright Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery: Updated Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Rankings

Word hit Wednesday morning that Cardinals’ ace Adam Wainwright has been flown back to St. Louis to have his right elbow examined by team doctors. The Cardinals (and fantasy managers) across the country are holding their collective breaths, but it’s expected that Wainwright will undergo Tommy John surgery, which would sideline him for 12-18 months. This is a devastating blow to not only the Cardinals, but those who own Wainwright as well. The 29-year-old was among the top-ranked starting pitchers this season, checking in as the No. 2 pitcher (27th overall) in our rankings...

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