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Tag Archive | "Andy Pettitte"

The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse Revisited: How The Elite Starting Pitchers of 2010 Fared in 2011

Friday, October 7, 2011

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The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse Revisited: How The Elite Starting Pitchers of 2010 Fared in 2011

Before the 2010 season, I got familiar with the idea of regression to the mean. This concept illustrates the phenomenon of an outlying statistic in one season (such as an extraordinary ERA) coming back down to earth in the next, simply by chance. My study examined how the best pitchers (in terms of ERA) fared in the following season, dating back to 2000. To measure this, I (somewhat arbitrarily) choose 2.50 as the cutoff for ERA. Here's what I found...

The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse: Why Hernandez, Halladay, Buchholz, Johnson & Wainwright May Regress in 2011

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

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The Sub-2.50 ERA Curse: Why Hernandez, Halladay, Buchholz, Johnson & Wainwright May Regress in 2011

Last March, I conducted a study on pitchers who’ve posted a single-season ERA of 2.50 or less since 2000. (You can read that article here.) In my research, I made several interesting discoveries. First, there were 11 different sub-2.50 ERA seasons between 2000 and 2005. Between 2006 and 2008, however, there were none. 2009 saw four such pitching performances, as Zack Greinke (2.16), Chris Carpenter (2.24), Tim Lincecum (2.48), and Felix Hernandez (2.49) all posted ERAs below 2.50. This recent trend supports the notion that hitters are no longer juicing, and thus pitchers are becoming more dominant. (Keep this in mind as you prepare for your 2011 fantasy drafts.)...

Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight 5/5: Yankees’ Brett Gardner Increases Stolen Bases Pace to 84

Thursday, May 6, 2010

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Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight 5/5: Yankees’ Brett Gardner Increases Stolen Bases Pace to 84

Game No. 22 of 162 in the Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight summer-long journey featured one of this year’s biggest surprises and a bounce-back performance from one of Oakland’s young guns… Game No. 22 – Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics • After surrendering eight runs (six earned) in five innings in his first start of the season last week, Trevor Cahill rebounded nicely Wednesday against the Rangers. In five innings, the 22-year-old allowed one unearned run on five hits and three walks in five innings...

Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight 4/7: Rays’ Evan Longoria Goes Deep Again

Thursday, April 8, 2010

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Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight 4/7: Rays’ Evan Longoria Goes Deep Again

We’re just three days removed from Opening Day, yet Fantasy Baseball Insiders has already scored four games as part of our journey to watch 162. Wednesday featured the Giants/Astros matchup in Houston… Game No. 4 – San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros Edgar Renteria was the story of this game, going 5-for-5 with a walk, one run and two RBI. San Francisco’s shortstop is now 8-for-11 on the season. The 34-year-old hasn’t been fantasy-relevant since 2008 when he hit 12 HRs and stole 11 bases while batting .332 in 494 at-bats...

Exploring the Sub-2.50 ERA Curse: Why Four Elite Pitchers May Regress in 2010

Monday, March 22, 2010

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Exploring the Sub-2.50 ERA Curse: Why Four Elite Pitchers May Regress in 2010

2009 was a remarkable year for the most elite pitchers in baseball, as four hurlers posted a sub-2.50 ERA. While this fact is incredible enough, so too is the reality that exactly zero pitchers accomplished this feat in the three years previous to '09. From 2000 to 2005, there were 11 instances of a pitcher posting an ERA under 2.50 with a minimum of 150 innings. This irregularity, when compared to the three-year drought from 2006 to 2008 is somewhat puzzling, though essentially meaningless to fantasy owners...

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