Before the 2010 season, I got familiar with the idea of regression to the mean. This concept illustrates the phenomenon of an outlying statistic in one season (such as an extraordinary ERA) coming back down to earth in the next, simply by chance.
My study examined how the best pitchers (in terms of ERA) fared in the following season, dating back to 2000. To measure this, I (somewhat arbitrarily) choose 2.50 as the cutoff for ERA.
Here’s what I found…
Ricky Romero has become a valued fantasy asset over the last two seasons. His numbers against division rival Boston, however, have been downright awful.
Here are all seven of Romero’s starts against Boston over the last two seasons (not including Wednesday night)…
888 sports department is the first site when it comes to sport betting, for those interested in any sport, from football to golf. The site provides updates to the minute odds, results, schedules, news and the future installments. Whether you’re looking to make a bet on football, darts, skiing, among others, you will find your account on the web page of 888 sports…
Closers are the most overrated players in fantasy baseball. The good ones deliver strong contributions to one category, but generally pitch less than five innings per week.
During drafts, I usually ignore the position until the late rounds. Despite this strategy, my teams are usually very strong in the saves category. In fact, my teams have finished tied-first, second, first and first in saves over the last four seasons in my 10-team roto keeper league.
How is this possible you ask? It’s simple really. Let me run some numbers by you…
As a fantasy baseball writer, I evaluate countless advanced statistics every day. Most of the time, I get my information from FanGraphs. However, I recently found another useful site in MoneyStats.
MoneyStats has created a starting pitcher game log using a “runs received” number to better help you with your starting pitcher decisions. They also track leads/deficits when pitchers exit a game, and no decision totals. Perhaps most valuable is their original MoneyStats Value player rating system.
Here is a quick taste of the unique stats MoneyStats has to offer…
Friday, October 7, 2011
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