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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 88: Is Arizona Diamondbacks’ Chris Young a Legitimate 30/30 Candidate?

Wed, Mar 16, 2011

Big Board, Player Projections

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

Chris Young almost duplicated his near-30/30 2007 campaign last season, hitting 27 HRs while stealing 28 bases. The big difference was in his .257 batting average and 11.1 walk rate (.237, 6.9 in ’07).

In the two seasons in between, Young combined to hit 37 HRs and steal just 25 bases. An improved batting eye has aided Young’s development, but a .268 BABIP in 2009 delayed his breakout season until 2010.

2011 should bring more of the same for the 27-year-old. While his batting average is likely to remain in the .250 range, 25 HRs and 25 steals are well within reach. His run-scoring and run-producing totals will reflect his spot in the Diamondbacks’ lineup.

Manager Kirk Gibson would like for Young to bat in the middle of the order, even though he performed exceptionally well (.289, 12 HRs, 20-for-23 stolen bases) in 287 at-bats as the leadoff or No. 6 hitter last season. His spot in the order will go a long way in determining his true value in 2011.

  PA R HR RBI SB AVG
2010 stats 664 94 27 91 28 .257
3-year average 621 78 21 73 18 .242
2011 FBI Forecast 675 85 26 90 25 .251

 

Image courtesy of: Amanda Rykoff

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