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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 54: Home Runs Aren’t Only Thing About Chicago White Sox’s Adam Dunn That Stands Out

Fri, Feb 25, 2011

Big Board, Player Projections

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

Adam Dunn is an easy player to overlook. If you’ve ever owned him, you know it’s nearly impossible to trade the guy thanks to his .250 lifetime average.

On the other hand, only Albert Pujols (294) has hit more home runs than Dunn (282) since 2004. And it’s not like Dunn’s numbers have been up and down since then, either. In fact, he’s been fairly consistent, posting HR totals ranging from 38 (in 2009 and 2010) to 46 (in 2004).

Perhaps most impressive is Dunn’s ability to stay healthy. (Fasten your seat belts for this one.) Since 2004, Dunn has missed a total of 26 games. Chipper Jones, on the other hand, has missed an average of 40 games per season during that same time frame.

Looking forward to 2011, there’s even more reason to like Dunn. Instead of playing 81 games at Nationals Park (a neutral field in terms of HRs last year according to ESPN’s MLB park factors), Dunn now calls U.S. Cellular Field home (the park which favored HRs the absolute most in 2010).

Further, Dunn is expected to bat third in the White Sox lineup, behind Juan Pierre and Gordon Beckham; in front of Paul Konerko and Alex Rios.

Bottom line: Dunn will have every chance to reach 100 runs, 40 HRs and 100 RBI for the fourth time in his career.

  PA R HR RBI SB AVG
2010 stats 648 85 38 103 0 .260
3-year average 656 82 39 103 1 .255
2011 FBI Forecast 660 100 43 110 0 .264

 

Image courtesy of: J. Miles Cameron

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