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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 32: How Will Victor Martinez Fare As a Detroit Tiger?

Mon, Feb 7, 2011

Big Board, Player Projections

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

Victor Martinez has been one of the most productive players at the catcher position over the last seven seasons. He makes good contact, doesn’t strike out much, always hits for a high average and has 20-25 HR power.

Since 2004 (his first full season), V-Mart has the most home runs among catchers (129). He also holds the second-highest batting average during that period, at an even .300 (Joe Mauer, of course, is first at .327). Martinez leads the pack in terms of RBI production, and it’s not even close. In fact, Martinez is the only catcher since 2004 to post 100 RBI in a season, and he’s done it three times!

While these accomplishments are all very impressive, two things are important to note while projecting Martinez in 2011. First, V-Mart is 32 years old, and the decline for catchers is generally very steep. Second, he’s no longer hitting in Fenway. His new home, Comerica Park slightly favored pitchers last season. His run-scoring and run-producing totals hinge on whether he’s hitting in front of or behind Miguel Cabrera.

Martinez remains in the top tier of a very thin position, but his prime years are behind him. Expect no more than 20 bombs with a .300 average in 2011.

  PA R HR RBI SB AVG
2010 stats 538 64 20 79 1 .302
3-year average 501 61 15 74 1 .298
2011 FBI Forecast 610 75 19 95 0 .296

 

Image courtesy of: Serena A. Thaw

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