2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 20: Why Boston Red Sox’s Kevin Youkilis Is More Valuable Than Ryan Zimmerman
Thu, Jan 27, 2011 by Nick Kappel
Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.
Kevin Youkilis’ current ADP on Mock Draft Central is 30.89, nearly 11 spots below where we believe he belongs. The thing fantasy managers may be forgetting is that Youkilis will re-gain third base eligibility this season, which is a huge deal considering the lack of depth at the hot corner.
A few things to consider: Youkilis has a better three-year batting average than David Wright, Evan Longoria, Alex Rodriguez and Ryan Zimmerman. In fact, his three-year averages across the board top that of the favored Zimmerman, despite the fact that Youkilis has missed a total of 103 games over the last three seasons.
Still not convinced?
Youkilis has increased his OPS every season of his career:
- 2004: .780
- 2005: .805
- 2006: .810
- 2007: .843
- 2008: .958 (12th best in MLB)
- 2009 .961 (5th best in MLB)
- 2010: .975 (7th best in MLB)
At 32, Youkilis’ plate discipline remains stellar, as he posted well above-average ratios in 2010:
- BB/K ratio (0.87, MLB average: 0.46)
- Contact rate (87.0 percent, MLB average: 80.7 percent)
- Swinging strike rate (4.9 percent, MLB average: 8.5 percent)
Given 550 to 600 plate appearances in 2011, Boston’s No. 5 hitter (sandwiched between Adrian Gonzalez and David Ortiz) is poised to post the fourth-best line among third basemen.
| PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | |
| 2010 stats | 435 | 77 | 19 | 62 | 4 | .307 |
| 3-year average | 548 | 89 | 25 | 90 | 5 | .308 |
| 2011 FBI Forecast | 600 | 100 | 28 | 110 | 5 | .302 |
Image courtesy of: Dennis Adair
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Fantasy Baseball Insiders’ 2011 Big Board:
- Nos. 1-10: Is Pujols Still The Top Pick?
- No. 11: Joey Votto
- No. 12: Robinson Cano
- No. 13: Ryan Howard
- No. 14: Alex Rodriguez
- No. 15: Prince Fielder
- No. 16: Matt Holliday
- No. 17: Mark Teixeira
- No. 18: Matt Kemp
- No. 19: Roy Halladay
MLB Trades: Fantasy Impact:
- Frank Francisco Traded to the Blue Jays, Who Will Be The Team’s Closer?
- Mike Napoli Traded to the Texas Rangers: Fantasy Impact
- Vernon Wells Traded to the Los Angeles Angels: Fantasy Impact
- Adrian Beltre Traded to the Texas Rangers: Fantasy Impact
Previous articles from Fantasy Baseball Insiders:
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